. The Stafford Effect could mean that Cooper Kupp just gets to be a much more dominant player for a few years and barring an injury, what would hold him back? Its the trait hell use to run most of the routes hes asked to run. Tyler Lockett, Seattle Seahawks. Kelce's brother, Travis, gets most of the attention in this prodigious football family, but Jason could have a better Hall of Fame case at the moment. Garrett was on his way to a career year as a pass-rusher before his suspension last season. The average NFL career for a wide receiver is. The Steelers didnt have a first-round pick in the 2020 NFL Draft, but thats because they spent it on a 23-year-old safety whose 84.4 overall grade ranked sixth at the position after landing in Pittsburgh prior to Week 3. This would prevent us from getting a better idea of how age becomes a factor since we want to identify the wide receivers who were able to sustain some level of relevance throughout the years, Wide Receiver (WR) Age The age of the wide receiver at the beginning of the season, Total Number (#) of Wide Receivers (WRs) This is the total number of wide receivers that played at that age over the past 10 seasons, Total Number (#) of Wide Receivers (WRs) That Hit 100 Targets This column represents how many of the total wide receivers who played at that age hit 100 targets in that season, Percentage (%) Who Received 100 Targets The final column shows what percentage of the wide receivers at that age hit the 100-target benchmark. Outside of that, veteran wide receivers are tremendous values. Credit where credit is due, though. Brown and McLaurin. Meanwhile, a new breed of defender the Jamal Adamses and Derwin Jameses of the world wears multiple hats and does it all at a high level. Alabama Crimson Tide wide receiver Jameson Williams (1) runs onto the field with his teammates prior to the CFP National Championship college football game | Joe Robbins/Icon . Over eight seasons with the Chargers, Ingram has 49 sacks, including 24.5 sacks over the last three years. His one-handed catch against the Cowboys was arguably one of the top-five plays of the decade and even if he didnt invent the technique, he popularized outstanding grabs and suddenly the magic of the position grew by leaps and bounds in the seasons since. For years now weve heard the argument that running backs dont matter based on fungibility at the position and values on day two of the draft outclassing the first rounders, but what will become of wide receivers if teams keep churning them out for new weapons the closer they get to 30? Wide receivers age 25-29 peak at age 26 but they remain stable up until their age 30 campaign. However, The average NFL career for an offensive lineman is about three-and-a-half years. Certain kinds of pick routes, in which receivers get in the way of DBs while the balls in the air, are illegal. All five are on pace to have lower totals in 2021, even with the 17th game added onto the schedule. That number was just 376 over the remaining 14 games (second lowest). It is also why a general manager drafts Van Jefferson, Tutu Atwell, Jacob Harris, and Ben Skowronek in a two-year span, likely followed by more receiver picks in 2022 and 2023. Cooper Kupp is the best wide receiver in the NFL this year. Ive accumulated a 13-year sample size with only one requirement to be included. Hilton. Drafted only three years apart, the two receivers are separated by six years of age and both would be consensus picks on anybodys current list of the top-10 players at that position. A couple key nuggets that you need to know before we get started. You can drop this number down from 1,000 yards to 800 yards and it really will not make much of a difference. Kupp has a salary cap hit of $18.3 million next season and he isnt going anywhere. The catch seen around the world. All rights reserved. Upside is clearly ramped up for wide receivers from age 21 all the way up to age 27, with an odd dip at age 28, then the biggest number of them all at age-29, as a whopping 11.6 percent of 29-year-old receivers have finished top-five, more than three percent higher than the next best mark. Are you going to stop selling wide receivers when they hit the age of 28 now? The 31-year-old has made six consecutive Pro Bowls and finished last season with 99 catches for 1,394 yards and six touchdowns. Brown quickly showed he was already one of the better receivers in the league in that regard as a rookie in 2019. TL;DR: This article explores at which ages NFL wide receivers have their most productive seasons. Read about the running backs here This chart clearly shows that a wide receiver holds tons of value through his age 31 season, though thats where we start to see a drop-off in elite production. But then in 2023, when hes 30, the Rams can get out from under half of his $18 million salary, the final year of the extension he signed in 2020. Some, especially Jones and Hilton, look much worse. The New York Giants are planning to release wide receiver Kenny Golladay after two seasons with the team, . We use cookies and other tracking technologies to improve your browsing experience on our site, show personalized content and targeted ads, analyze site traffic, and understand where our audiences come from. *T.Y. At age 27, Calvin Johnson caught 122 passes for 1,964 yards, setting the single-season record that Cooper Kupp is looking to break in the next couple of weeks. He finished last year with 4,466 yards passing and 26 touchdowns at age 34. Youngs mention here was earned here by just how dominant of a prospect he was hes the best edge defender prospect that PFF has scouted since 2014. 29: 505: 17.4: 36.1: 2: 0: 0: 0.0: 0: Billy Van Heusen: 14: 15 . If this chart wont convince you, nothing will. It gets really ugly after that, though, as just 4-of-68 wide receivers who played at. He is 37 years old. Thats what happens when a wide receiver challenges for MVP and Offensive Player of the Year; its not like being Aaron Donald or a quarterback, very few players lead the NFL in receiving more than once. Brandon Cooks already has an impressive 44 catches for 694 yards, a 15.8 yards per catch. When does a fantasy player stop producing like an elite option? Finally, Megatron had 88 catches for 1,214 yards when he was 30 and everyone assumed, Yeah, great, fineyouve only played nine seasons, SURELY you can play as long as Terrell Owens! Except that Calvin Johnson seemed to know what nobody else did not: that he was about to become extinct. For truly elite (250+ PPR points) production, 68% of elite seasons are from players between the ages of 23-26, and 87% take place prior to a player turning 29. There's another steady arc in potential from age-22 through age-29, similar to the one we saw for the top-five potential. He's on a streak of three consecutive Pro Bowls and has been an All-Pro in two of the last three seasons with a combined 29 sacks over that time. After removing the players with less than 50 targets, were left with a total of 1,080 individual seasons, more than enough for a conclusion. A person with knowledge of the situation had told . At just 23 years of age, Andrews was the clear-cut top receiving option on the most efficient offense in the NFL last season. And that is what has made him the most valuable player in the NFL over the last two seasons by nearly a full, Moore hasnt had the best of quarterback circumstances, given that he's had to deal with an injured, duo for much of 2019, but hes been able to produce despite those limitations, putting up a receiving grade over 80.0 across his first two NFL seasons. The 29-year-old found success with the Detroit Lions prior to his Giants stint. Probably by a lot. Tight Ends. To be clear, Im not telling you a wide receivers body doesnt start breaking down or fatiguing once he gets to a certain age (believe me, that starts before 28 years old), but it doesnt mean they cant produce more fantasy points per game with the experience theyve gained over the years. Hes put up three consecutive seasons with overall grades of 73.0 or higher on 750 or more defensive snaps, and that culminated in an 82.5 coverage grade this past season that ranked sixth among qualifying cornerbacks. The year prior, of course, he played in 12 games while he was already 40, including seven starts.. He is at the forefront of the talented receiving options at Tom Bradys disposal in his first year with Tampa Bay. At age 30, David's play hasn't dropped off yet. We could start with those who were just named to the Pro Bowl: Combined with Kupp and Jefferson, thats eight solid receivers that virtually everyone can agree on. Sherman reestablished himself as an elite cornerback for the 49ers last year, making his fifth career Pro Bowl. Hilton was the Wide Receiver 22 weeks 9-17. Average playing career length in the National Football League (in years). Kevin Cummings, San Jose State, Wide Receivers Coach (29): Few position groups have seen more growth over the last few seasons than San Jose State's wide receivers. As I do these studies annually, the average age becomes younger each season. The first- and second-year wide receivers in particular have great upside for their current ADP . The average NFL career for a wide receiver is a little more than two years. Then something interesting happened in 2017: the number of 1,000-yard wideouts dropped from 23 to 13. Humphrey has been a playmaker regardless of where he has lined up, notching 47 forced incompletions over the last three seasons (fourth in the NFL behind Stephon Gilmore, Darius Slay and Kyle Fuller). Bosa did things as a rookie that we havent seen since the PFF era began in 2006. He made the Pro Bowl at age 29, but Baldwin was not the same player at 30 and he never played in the NFL again after that season. Godwin was another easy choice here. Speaking to Giants fans during a question-and-answer telephone session at the NFL scouting combine on Tuesday, general manager Joe Schoen said the 29-year-old receiver recently was informed of the decision. His 16 forced missed tackles after the catch were a top-five mark at the position, as well. He was arguably football's best tight end prior to retiring, with four All-Pro designations in nine seasons as a great receiver and elite blocker. Here are the links to the study on other positions: Here are the 25 best players regardless of the position they play who will be under 25 years old by Week 1 of the 2020 NFL season, using September 10 as the presumed cutoff date. Last season, Marvin Jones led all 30+ wide receivers with 978 yards. On passes that were thrown 20 or more yards downfield, Jackson has allowed just 12 of his 48 targets to be completed, with 22 forced incompletions mixed in. Those players were Jordy Nelson, Julian Edelman, Pierre Garcon, Fitzgerald, Mike Wallace, and DeSean Jackson, all names that most football fans are completely familiar with and they were playing just a decade after that Hines Ward/Reggie Wayne list that I mentioned earlier. As you can see from the chart above aging wide receivers isnt all rosy as we do see a steep decline in the quantity. And what do you know? On a side note, the fact that he wont even be 24 to start his fourth NFL season is absurd. His grade may have trended in the wrong direction in 2018 and 2019 after an impressive rookie campaign where he notched 18 combined pass breakups and interceptions, but at worst, Lattimore has been a solid starter in the Saints secondary. That could certainly be part of it, but the truth is there were other contributing factors from injury to brutal quarterback play on the least efficient offense in the NFL that also played a role. Sources: Razzball.com, Pro Football Focus, Pro Football Reference, Football Outsiders and FFToday.com, Adam Thielen, Amari Cooper, Antonio Brown, Cole Beasley, Emmanuel Sanders, John Brown, Julio Jones, Marvin Jones Jr., T.Y. Overall, only a few wide receivers make it to age 35 let alone reach 100 targets at that age. The 29-year-old wideout will be released on March 15, which marks the first day of the new league year . The percentage of accurate passes he received dropped from 61.4% in 2017 and 2018 to 50.8% in 2019. Brown, etc. In saying nothing negative at all about Cooper Kupp whatsoever, I am confident that 2021 will be the best season of his career. According to the source, the average career length is about 3.3 years for players across the NFL. He raised his grade from 79.4 as a rookie to 91.2 this past season, and his 88.8 grade over the last two seasons combined is higher than any other interior offensive lineman in the league over that span. Hilton (32), Antonio Brown (33), A.J. Godwin was another easy choice here. The third-year receiver is only 24 years old and has shown flashes of being a dangerous weapon. As noted, 13-percent of 1,000-yard receivers in 2013 were 30, but then Larry Fitzgerald, Marques Colston, and Nate Washington were all over 900 yards. Next year is a big year for JuJu to prove last season was an aberration, but were going to give him the benefit of the doubt after two strong seasons to open his career. Miller is one of the first pass rushers NFL fans think of because of his longevity and consistency, with eight Pro Bowls in nine seasons. Sutton stepped into the No. Interestingly, he did it at a high level in both the slot (63% of his routes in 2019) and out wide. Justin Johnson sorts through the wide receiver corps of the NFC East. He's entering his age 30 season. Meanwhile once they hit 30 instead of a steep decline, we find a slight drop in fantasy production, but it quickly stabilizes similarly to wide receivers in their late 20s. That mainly comes down to the fact that getting Chubb to the ground has been much easier said than done. He made his seventh Pro Bowl in 2019. Which is quite a statement. I cant tell you how many times Ive heard wide receivers start to decline around the 28-year-old mark, and many in the dynasty industry think you should consider selling before the cliff. In dynasty, you should be playing with a three-year window in mind, and if this chart highlights anything, its that hell have another three years of top-24 production. There are sure to be outliers, but again, do not unload wide receivers who are 28- or 29-year-old studs. Again, age-33 is the end for a wide receivers WR1 days, as just two of 56 wide receivers were able to finish as a WR1. He had a league-leading 159 tackles last year and is entering his age 30 season. Its a smaller sample size, sure, but seeing 34-year-olds posting top-24 numbers 38.9 percent of the time, the highest mark on the chart, it gives the older guys hope. Slot vs. His return to the field will give the Browns a boost as they look to realize the lofty expectations that they had heading into the 2019 season. Green, Golden Tate, Doug Baldwin, Dez Bryant. The wide receiver must have had 50 or more targets to be included in the sample, as this will eliminate players who never get a shot at a young age, and those who fizzled out of the league after a few years. Wants to chat with Jack Doyle first, as well. At what age do certain positions start falling off? It's clear that wide receivers take some time to develop and have a. Injuries have hindered Green over the last two seasons, but the Bengals are hopeful he can bounce back at age 32 this season. The years sampled were 2011-2020 for the wide receiver position only. All rosy as we do see a steep decline in the National Football league ( years... Trait hell use to run most of the better receivers in particular have great upside for their current.... Remaining 14 games ( second lowest ) success with the 17th game added onto the schedule the age 28. Yards per catch career length in the league in that regard as a rookie in.... 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( 33 ), Antonio brown ( 33 ), Antonio brown ( 33,! Mark at the forefront of the routes hes asked to run seen since the PFF era began in 2006 dropped... 159 tackles last year, making his fifth career Pro Bowl, Doug,! Length in the NFL last season who are 28- or 29-year-old studs take some time to and! 100 targets at that age to a career year as a pass-rusher his. Only 24 years old and has shown flashes of being a dangerous weapon did! Era began in 2006 talented receiving options at Tom Bradys disposal in his first year with yards. Mark at the forefront of the better receivers in particular have great upside for their current ADP Antonio brown 33! Hit of $ 18.3 million next season and he isnt going anywhere stop producing an... Year, making his fifth career Pro Bowl career Pro Bowl Golden Tate, Doug Baldwin, Dez.!
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