-2018 TOC, Q. The field this week will consist of 156 players, including 20 PGA professionals. EVR popped at this event with a pair of top-20's in his only 2 appearances in which it was held at The Renaissance Club, including a T6 in 2020. 2nd - strokes gained tee to green in windy conditions 13th - proximity over the last 36 rounds played 13th - strokes gained on par-3's over last 36 rounds played (Renaissance Club has five par-3's) 14th - strokes gained approach over the last 24 rounds played 21st - strokes gained off the tee over the last 24 rounds played Awful, right? Patrick Cantlay 10. "Most strokes gained in winds over 20 MPH. You get some grainy, elevated greens to where its difficult to get the ball around the hole, and over the course of the round in a tournament, that can be quite a few shots, and the person I think that does that the best is going to have the best chance of winning. Justin Thomas spoke after playing a practice round at Southern Hills and said: Its tough to chip. If youre scraping it a little bit its harder. Tulsa, Oklahoma is known to get quite windy, and it will undoubtedly be a factor over the weekend. I want to be ahead of it when he does come out and run away with a victory. Small, firm, and fast greens combined with high winds typically results in a great deal of frustration for players. Are you a mudder? Seamus Power (1.091 sg:wind vs. 0.664 sg:total) When I go to school, playing in this kind of wind fairly regularly, not all the time. The Open Championship Fantasy Preview - Daily Fantasy Sports Analysis - Fantasy Sports - Future Of Fantasy, Hyundai Tournament of Champions Fantasy Preview, https://futureoffantasy.com/performance-in-cold-weather, https://futureoffantasy.com/overseeded-specialists. Managing your salary and maximizing players who have a nose for eagles and birdies sounds easier than it is, but Im back from my paternity leave to help us cash out a few contests on DraftKings and FanDuel this weekend. CURTIS LUCK: Yeah, of course. I think its growing up in it, it certainly helps and I feel like Im suited pretty well. In 2021, Bryson DeChambeau came . Even with the poor play of late, his ball-striking rates out very well in my model this week. But, we are obviously looking at Strokes Gained (SG): Putting on Bermuda as well as 3-putt avoidance. So I assume that the wind is not an issue for you? There are two main types of drivers: those that are 460cc and have a shallow profile, and those that are less than 460cc and have a deeper profile. Ive played enough golf through the years now to know my game suits kind of windy, tough conditions. Glad to hear, Matt. A nagging back injury has kept us from seeing more of Will Zalatoris but that doesnt mean he wont be prepared for a run at an outright win. That goes for using launch monitors to create optimal launch conditions, . My favorite blue-chip prospect at this event is a player on the rise who is seeking his first outright win at Bay Hill. Harold Varner III (0.132 sg:wind vs. 0.997 sg:total) If you are a 20 handicap, you get 20 strokes for the round. Within the 50-round model, Zalatoris sits 10th on approach, 10th in opportunities gained and 16th in bogey avoidance. Some golfers pick up a reputation based on one event or one round played in the wind. Gambling problem? I'm banking on quality iron play, as well as course, and course style, history that will propel him to have success this week. Sergio ranks 6th among golfers since 2014 in strokes gained in the wind at 2.679 per round and finished 2nd after losing a playoff to Padraig Harrington the last time The Open was played at Carnoustie in 2007. I won the first week I put it in, and Im just able to flight the ball so much better than I used to be able to, and the wind doesnt seem to take it as much. The forecast for Thursday, Friday is wind. I enjoy playing in it, which is helpful. -2018 Masters, Q. 14th - strokes gained approach over the last 24 rounds played I always thought I was a pretty good wind player. I enjoy the challenge, I think, more than actually the wind. An event taking place on a difficult course? JHONATTAN VEGAS: Yeah, I feel like wind is an advantage for me, the way I flight the ball. The 26-year-old California native just logged a fourth-place finish at Genesis during his most recent event, going seven-under-par in the final round to climb up the leaderboard during the most pressure-filled moments. Keep up the good work! SHANE LOWRY: Yeah, like people say, oh, you must love this weather when youre over here, but I dont like it at all, but I know how to do it. Hi Josh can you please update this report, the Cold weather report, and the fast greens report? When he plays four rounds, he's playing them well. So I worked through it on Monday and thats probably why I played well today just because that gave me confidence that Im now compressing the ball. Therefore, Strokes Gained off the tee would be: 4.05 - 2.91 - 1 (for the shot you just took) = 0.14. Some of the guys would play in it anyway to prep for The Open; but for the most part, these numbers are populated with European Tour players. How much of an advantage or how much confidence does it give you against the field when youre Sergio shows up high on the list and he backs it up with quotes including this one from the '14 Houston Open, "I do like playing in the wind. playing in these kind of conditions? Strokes Gained: Putting (Bermuda and Lightning) A major reason Bay Hill plays as one of the most difficult courses on TOUR is the incredibly fast greens. Total Strokes Gained: Windy Conditions Any golfer who wants to hoist the Wanamaker Trophy must be able to battle the elements. Hideki Matsuyama (2.861 sg:total) Patrick Reed: I definitely can hit it low if I need to. Do you mind updating this report to include last weeks data? Yesterday was cold and rainy and today was cold and windy. Tommy Fleetwood (2.461 sg:total) Do you consider yourself a natural wind player? DeChambeau 6. hi josh can you please update this report? Hes reached 100 points on FanDuel in three of his past four events, so dont sleep on Mitchells upside entering Bay Hill, where hes previously finished T61, T43, T5, and T6. LUCAS GLOVER: I dont mind it. A stroke gained analysis can help a player to understand where they need to improve their game in order to compete at a higher level. I was like thats just going to make me frustrated. Certainly there were some windy days in Texas. Bay Hill is one of the most notorious courses in terms of difficulty on the PGA Tour circuit, averaging 73.8 in the opening round in 2022, but well see windy conditions that will make it even tougher for players to navigate the narrow, doglegged fairways and TifDwarf Bermudagrass greens designed to run fast. Finally, shorter strokes often hold up better under pressure than longer strokes. The baseline average to hole out from your new position in the fairway is now 2.91. Any golfer who wants to hoist the Wanamaker Trophy must be able to battle the elements. -2018 Honda. Well, with the wind, like I said, the course had to be very challenging. I enjoy it, Patrick does, too. call 1-800-327-5050 or visit https://helplinema.org to speak with a trained specialist free and confidentially 24/7. I'd say I like it when it's challenging. -2018 TPC San Antonio (Valero), Q. MARC LEISHMAN: Yeah, I grew up in it. Quantity: Most weighted strokes gained in windy conditions since 2014 are Dustin Johnson, Patrick Reed, Tony Finau, Paul Casey, and Jason Day. Bud Cauley (0.964 sg:wind vs. 1.37 sg:total) Adam Schenk (1.232 sg:wind vs. 0.892 sg:total), Wes Roach (-0.834 sg:wind vs. 0.088 sg:total) Pingback: 2017 Open Championship DFS Golf Outlook - Fantasy Six Pack. which takes on added emphasis in the expected windy conditions. Was able to win there. Jason Day 5. PATTON KIZZIRE: I dont know, just fresh start, low to no expectations, just kind of getting going. Which statistic other than Strokes Gained: Tee-to-Green are you weighing most? It goes a notch further and compares the player's performance to a set benchmark. Obviously not hurricane (laughter), but I do enjoy playing in the wind. Stay away from difficult underfoot conditions or exposed edges and get off the hill as soon as possible. I mean, nobody likes playing in the rain but I would like it to be windy. I dont know what was the reason. I didnt even want to hit balls on Monday here, or Tuesday I dont know which day it was, Monday because it was so windy and I was hitting it bad. Will Zalatoris: $9,400 It may be this week, it may be next week. So, yeah, its just something that Im accustomed to and I dont particularly enjoy it, but its a good challenge. SG: Putting (Bermuda and Lightning) over past 24 rounds: Beau Hossler (+24.9) (+20000) Adam Hadwin (0.805 sg:wind vs. 1.44 sg:total) In windy conditions, the ability to hit a low, controlled shot is often the key to success. Owned and designed in the vision of the iconic late golfer Arnold Palmer, Bay Hill has its share of water hazards, sand bunkers, and doglegged fairways that will punish errant tee shots and approach shots. Including this statistic will elevate the golfers who have done their best work on similar greens. Is that mere coincidence or do you think theres something about that in terms of like Strokes Gained can help golfers achieve this by providing them with the information they need to make the correct shot selection. He's also a yuge Patty Tavatanakit stan. Casey 10. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem and wants help, call 1-800-GAMBLER (NJ, PA & WV), 1-800-9-WITH-IT (IN). Now, had Sahith Theegala not made a run on Friday to get through the cut on the number, then following that up with a good weekend to finish T16, this could be a completely different story. Keith Mitchell: $9,700 Daniel Berger (1.901 sg:total) McIIroy 5. The course is long for a par 70, and water will be in play for fifteen of the eighteen holes. Are you looking to contact Customer Support about a subscription or account related question? Tony Finau (2.089 sg:total) When golfers talk about strokes gained in windy conditions, they are usually referring to how well they are able to adjust their swings to account for the wind. The PGA Tour winner lacks in-depth course experience here he sits 22nd in SG: TOT over the past three years at Bay Hill, finishing 38th last year and 10th in 2021 but excels on difficult setups. The chalk hit this week, so that doesn't bode too well for this series. Strokes Gained: Putting (Bermuda and Lightning) A major reason Bay Hill plays as one of the most difficult courses on TOUR is the incredibly fast greens. -2018 TPC San Antonio (Valero), Q. Hover over cells to view the category breakdown of great shots. He also finished T-28 in the Sony Open in January with elite putting in windy conditions. Number of "great" shots in the round, where a great shot is defined as the top 5% of strokes-gained values in each category. KEVIN TWAY: Yeah, absolutely. IAN POULTER: Yeah, I definitely think, for me, I like the way the golf course sets up in the wind. High-end target: Jon Rahm $11,200 (1st Total Strokes Gained: Windy Conditions Early week roster builds tend to have a struggle finding value . Kiradech Aphibarnrat (0.858 sg:wind vs. 1.236 sg:total) Strokes Gained Approach-The-Green (SGAPR) -2015 PGA National, Q. Sergio, youve always been a particularly good wind player. Bryson DeChambeau's U.S. Open victory was historic on many levels, not the least of which was his strokes gained metrics. J.T. I probably need to prepare more for calm conditions, get my launch up where for this, it feels like home. I could control my irons pretty well in the wind. Scott 7. Q. Matt. Kevin Na (1.239 sg:wind vs. 1.642 sg:total) So I played well in the wind before and I think growing up in it certainly helps. The five-time PGA Tour winner has three consecutive top-20 finishes and gained strokes on the greens in two of the three events. What about this course suits you? -2019 Sentry TOC at Kapalua, KEVIN TWAY: Yeah, I played good. PGAgolfbets has identified the following Key Performance Statistics for this week's Arnold Palmer Invitational. It's near impossible to consider wind by wave and/or player as gusts can come and go by the hour or even by the minute. -2018 CC of Jackson, Q. That report actually came in handy last week no anti-cold players performed well last week. Talking to Padraig yesterday and he said, I dont like playing in weather like this, but I consider it an advantage for us in Europe, we played in it before. So its not that I love it; but I tend to do a little bit better on it. Wind Anti-Specialists are the golfers whose performance in windy rounds is the lowest when comparing to their baseline. Age is just one of them. Its near impossible to consider wind by wave and/or player as gusts can come and go by the hour or even by the minute. Just hoping we can get a refresh on all the relevant sheets for the USO. Meteorologists and pro caddies agree that a well hit shot by a good golfer with any club will at some point in its trajectory be 80 to 90 feet above the ground. Over the past 24 rounds on difficult courses, Zalatoris ranks fifth in the field in SG: TOT. It takes time. Ive only been around it once now, but very much demanding of the tee ball. So yes, Anti-Specialists would be bad wind players in this instance. Jordan Spieth (2.153 sg:total) Are you kind of a wind sort of player? I watched the Golf Digest YouTube flyover of the course, and the greens look tricky. Fleetwood is a strong wind player and should be an ideal candidate to contend in a grind-it-out type of event. Number of "great" shots in the round, where a great shot is defined as the top 5% of strokes-gained values in each category. I aim for the spot I know the winds going to take it over. But once you start swinging it well, like hitting it into the wind really shows you how you are hitting the golf ball because its going to only maximize your dispersion. Max Homa (0.718 sg:wind vs. 0.02 sg:total) Ultimately, it is up to the individual golfer to experiment with different strategies and see what works best for them in windy conditions. I like having the feel aspect. leads the field in strokes gained from tee to green, and it . We know the prowess with the irons. Tee shots take second place. Tommy Fleetwood has only competed in five events this season thus far but hes managed three T25 finishes, while only missing the cut once at the WMPO a few weeks ago. Can you please also refresh the performance in COLD WEATHER please? Links course player it would seem. CAMERON SMITH: Im from Australia. Garcia 7. He can crack the driver, averaging 306 yards per attempt, so hes built for success at Bay Hill. Thank you. Its obviously great food and great people here, so its always a pleasure to come back to Texas and play. It can also be used to compare a players performance against other players in a particular dataset. Stay the course and the results will manifest later in the event, keeping your lineups from dropping out of the green and ultimately cashing the contest. Wind page is now updated. Thank you. Nine under to start the day, Stallings was five strokes behind Scheffler when his afternoon began to improve. Do you like the windy conditions? Davis Love III (-0.459 sg:wind vs. 0.012 sg:total) You finished tied for 2nd here a couple years ago. Mitchell plays his best on Bermuda grass and in the wind, and he's in top form coming off a T-5 finish at the Genesis Invitational last time out. . This means that your gross score (total score) minus 20 is your handicap-adjusted score (net score). Thats just the way it is. Mitchell has positive strokes gained across the board in three of his last four PGA Tour starts and now plays on his preferred soil and grass. The 2022 British Open Championship weather forecast shows significant wind at St. Andrews and the Old Course and little chance for rain all week This will help you shave strokes off your game and improve your skills quickly. He gained an impressive eight strokes on approach. Gary Woodland (2.015 sg:total) Lee has excelled on the DP World Tour in difficult, windy conditions, and I like backing him here after a whole week and 72 holes stateside. Ill get used to it, and just keep the ball under the wind is the most difficult on the links golf. There are many factors that affect how far a golfer can hit their 9 iron. Download Golf GPS - Hello Birdie and enjoy it on your iPhone, iPad and iPod touch. There are a few things that separate the best golfers in the world from the rest of the pack. 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